北京市水资源利用与工业发展的相关性分析

Dan Wu, Renxing Yang, Yue Li, Yanlai Jin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

基于北京市工业用水变化、水结构调整和用水效率变化,分析了北京市水资源利用的演变过程。同时,结合北京市经济和产业发展的变化,运用产业结构变化系数的方法揭示北京市产业结构变化的方向。在此基础上,采用灰色关联度评价方法对北京市水资源利用与产业结构的关联度进行测度。采用Tapio弹性系数法确定了北京市三大产业的水弹性系数。研究表明,“八五”至“十三五”期间,北京市工农业用水快速下降,生活用水快速上升,从农业用水占比最大转变为生活用水占比最大。北京市第一、第二产业结构变化系数的平均值始终为负,第三产业结构变化系数的平均值始终为正。第三产业呈现相对稳定的发展态势。北京市第一产业与水资源利用关联度最高,第二产业次之,第三产业关联度最低。北京市三大产业与水资源利用的相关性呈逐渐下降趋势。第一产业和第二产业的水弹性系数普遍为负,第三产业的水弹性系数始终为正。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis of the Relevance Between Water Resources Utilization and Industrial Development in Beijing
The authors analyze the evolution of Beijing's water resources utilization based on changes in Beijing's industrial water use, adjustment of water structure and changes in water efficiency. At the same time, combined with changes in Beijing's economic and industrial development, the authors use the method of industrial structure change coefficient to reveal the direction of Beijing's industrial structure change. On this basis, the grey correlation evaluation method is used to measure the correlation between water resources utilization and industrial structure in Beijing. And the Tapio elasticity coefficient method is used to determine the water elasticity coefficient for the three industries in Beijing. Studies have shown that during the "Eighth Five-Year Plan" to "Thirteenth Five-Year Plan" period, Beijing's industrial and agricultural water consumption has fallen rapidly, and domestic water consumption has risen rapidly, changing from the largest proportion of agricultural water to the largest proportion of domestic water. The average value of the change coefficient of the primary and secondary industry structure in Beijing is always negative, and the average value of the change coefficient of the tertiary industry structure is always positive. The tertiary industry is showing a relatively stable expansion trend. Beijing's primary industry has the highest correlation with water resources utilization, followed by the secondary industry, and the tertiary industry is the lowest. The correlation between the three industries in Beijing and the utilization of water resources has shown a gradual decline. The water elasticity coefficients of the primary and secondary industries are generally negative, and the water elasticity coefficients of the tertiary industry are always positive.
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