汇款对尼泊尔经济增长的影响

Manish Lamsal
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引用次数: 0

摘要

工人的跨境流动随着经济自由化政策的实施而增加,特别是在20世纪90年代尼泊尔和世界日益全球化之后。它为在国外的尼泊尔工人打开了大门,使他们的汇款成为尼泊尔外汇收入的主要来源之一。因此,解决失业问题,汇款成为尼泊尔经济的主要贡献者,加速了该国的整体经济增长;它是金融储蓄的主要来源,因此也是投资和增长的主要来源。尽管汇款在尼泊尔经济中的重要性日益增加,但汇款对经济增长的总体影响尚未得到充分探讨。本文分析了汇款对尼泊尔经济增长的影响。以前的研究发现,关于汇款对经济的影响的结果好坏参半,即汇款对经济增长的积极影响和消极影响。因此,本文考察了哪种影响在尼泊尔语境中占主导地位。为了确定汇款对尼泊尔经济增长的影响,本研究采用多元回归模型(OLS)。2001-2020年20年的时间序列二手数据收集自各种已发表的来源。本研究的结论是,汇款与尼泊尔经济增长之间存在显著的正相关关系。其他控制变量、政府支出和出口贸易的影响也对增长有利。然而,人力资本支出具有滞后效应,短期内不显著。尼泊尔政府和有关机构应为尼泊尔移民提供技能发展培训,以增加他们在东道国的收入。政府应鼓励移民只通过正规银行渠道汇款。它甚至有助于资本形成、投资和经济增长。它还解决了国家的流动性危机和外汇约束,促进了国家基础设施的发展。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
THE EFFECTS OF REMITTANCE ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NEPAL
The cross-border movement of workers has increased with the enactment of economic liberalization policy, especially after the 1990s in Nepal and increasing globalization in the world. It opened the door to the Nepalese workers in abroad, making their remittance one of the prime sources of foreign exchange earning in Nepal. Consequently, solving the problem of unemployment, remittance become the major contributor in Nepalese economy accelerating overall economic growth of the country; it is the major source of financial savings and thereby investment and growth. Despite the increasing importance of remittance in Nepalese economy, the overall impact of remittance on economic growth has not been adequately explored yet. This paper analyzes the effects of remittances on the economic growth of Nepal. Previous studies have found mixed results regarding to impact of remittances on economy- i.e. positive effects as well as negative effects of remittance on economic growth. So, this paper examines which effect is predominant in Nepalese context. The multiple regression model (OLS) is employed in the study in order to identify the effects of remittances on economic growth of Nepal. The time series secondary data for 20 years, 2001-2020, are collected from various published sources. This study concludes that there is positive and significant relationship between remittance and economic growth in Nepal. The impacts of other control variables, government expenditure and export trade are also positive for growth. However, expenses made on human capital has lagged effect, making insignificant in short run. The government of Nepal and concerned agencies should provide skill development trainings for the Nepalese migrants to increase their income in host countries. Government should encourage migrants to send remittances only from formal banking channels. It even helps for capital formation, investment and economic growth. It also solves the liquidity crisis and foreign exchange constraints in the nation, promoting the infrastructure development on the nation.
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