利用copula联合估计处理内生回归量

Sungho Park, Sachin Gupta
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引用次数: 437

摘要

我们提出了一种新的不需要统计工具的方法来解决内生性问题。该方法采用copula方法对内生回归量和结构方程误差项(结构误差)的联合分布进行建模,并通过最大化联合分布得到的似然值对模型参数进行推断。与仪器变量方法中的“排除限制”类似,现有的无仪器方法需要假设未观察到的仪器是外生的,这一要求很难满足。所建议的方法不需要这样的假设。该方法的其他优点是允许对离散内生回归量进行建模,并为斜率内生性问题提供了一种新的解决方案。除了线性模型外,该方法还适用于流行的随机系数logit模型,无论是总体水平还是个人水平的数据。我们通过一系列的仿真研究和一个经验例子证明了所提出方法的性能。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Handling Endogenous Regressors by Joint Estimation Using Copulas
We propose a new statistical instrument-free method to tackle the endogeneity problem. The proposed method models the joint distribution of the endogenous regressor and the error term in the structural equation of interest (the structural error) using a copula method, and it makes inferences on the model parameters by maximizing the likelihood derived from the joint distribution. Similar to the “exclusion restriction” in instrumental variable methods, extant instrument-free methods require the assumption that the unobserved instruments are exogenous, a requirement that is difficult to meet. The proposed method does not require such an assumption. Other benefits of the proposed method are that it allows the modeling of discrete endogenous regressors and offers a new solution to the slope endogeneity problem. In addition to linear models, the method is applicable to the popular random coefficient logit model with either aggregate-level or individual-level data. We demonstrate the performance of the proposed method via a series of simulation studies and an empirical example.
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