安然案例研究是否为早期发现公司欺诈和失败提供了宝贵的经验教训?

Baitshepi Tebogo
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引用次数: 5

摘要

后来被称为安然(Enron)的公司在名称和业务范围方面经历了广泛的转变。到它倒闭的时候,它拥有大量的子公司,被认为是世界上最成功的公司之一,部分原因是金融分析师没有注意到最基本的财务指标。安然的庞大规模,以及直到2001年之前的良好声誉,似乎使金融分析师和其他调查人员在审查其财务业绩时显得松懈,缺乏警惕性。然而,在安然倒闭后进行的几项财务分析表明,人们本可以更早地预测到它的倒闭。在本文中,贝尼什比率、修正奥尔特曼Z-Score、查诺斯算法和格鲁夫和库克比率都表明,如果分析师做了他们应该做的事情,并且不认为该公司太大而不能倒闭,安然的崩溃是可以预测的。安然案例研究也凸显了定性分析在评估公司业绩方面的重要性,事实证明,定性分析有助于引起公众对该公司可疑会计做法的关注。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Does the Enron Case Study Provide Valuable Lessons in the Early Detection of Corporate Fraud & Failure?
The company that came to be known as Enron underwent an extensive transformation in terms of name, and scope of activities. By the time of its collapse, it had a massive number of subsidiaries and was considered one of the most successful companies in the world partly because financial analysts were not paying attention to the very basic financial metrics. The large size and, until 2001, exquisite reputation of Enron appeared to have made financial analysts and other investigators lax and devoid of vigilance when it came to scrutinising its financial performance. However, several financial analysis done after the demise of Enron showed that its collapse could have been predicted much earlier. In this paper, the Beneish ratios, the Modified Altman Z-Score, Chanos Algorithm and the Grove and Cook ratios have all shown that the Enron collapse was predictable, had analysts done what they were supposed to do and not considered the company to be too big to fail. The Enron case study also highlights the importance of qualitative analysis in reviewing corporate performance, which as things turned out was instrumental in drawing the public’s attention to the company’s dubious accounting practices.
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