欧洲调节电力市场运行:风电生产的储备需求水平

S. Jaehnert, G. Doorman
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引用次数: 1

摘要

可再生能源在当今欧洲以水热为主的电力系统中的大规模整合将对其未来的运行构成挑战。在北欧,风力发电预计将占可再生能源的主要份额。风预报及其固有的预报误差导致系统失衡加剧。这将需要更高的生产灵活性和系统中更多的调节储量,以确保其安全和高效运行。一个北欧电力市场的模型,包括2010年和2020年的情景,被用来评估风力预测误差和储备水平的影响,这是系统所需要的。分析表明,到2020年,系统失衡将大幅增加,从而导致电力市场监管中的社会经济成本大幅增加。相当低的需求水平证明是最具成本效益的。然而,在2010年和2020年,通过整合国家监管电力市场,可以实现最高的节约,同时提高系统安全性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
European regulating power market operation: Reserve requirement levels for wind power production
Large-scale integration of renewable energy sources in today's European hydro-thermal dominated power system will challenge its future operation. In Northern Europe wind power production is expected to contribute the main share to renewable energy sources. Wind forecasting and its inherent forecast error lead to increasing system imbalances. This will require higher production flexibility and more regulating reserves in the system, to ensure its secure and efficient operation. A model of the Northern European power market, including a 2010 and a 2020 scenario, is used to assess the impact of the wind forecast error and the level of reserves, which are required in the system. The analyses show an enormous increase of system imbalances up to 2020 and thus socio-economic costs, which occur in the regulating power market. Rather low requirement level turn out to be most cost effective. However, in 2010 as well as 2020 highest savings can be achieved by the integration of national regulating power markets, concurrently leading to an increased system security.
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