应用决策支持指标进行有效的风险知情资产管理

J. Liming
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文所述的风险知情资产管理(RIAM)方法和相关决策支持指标的应用,为拟议中的工厂设备变更以及相关的运营和维护实践和政策提供了严格、系统、审慎的决策支持。本文提出了为发电站和发电公司准备和实施RIAM方案的概念。变更的主要优点是盈利能力和安全性,因此盈利能力在由推荐的安全限制定义的约束中得到优化。RIAM流程采用三层筛选概念,结合工厂可用性模型和安全模型(事件频率建模),帮助高效准确地识别有利可图的变化,并量化对安全的影响。因为工厂(或车队)的变更决策通常与高度的不确定性有关。提出的RIAM方法包括不确定性量化,以帮助决策者做出有利结果的决策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Application of decision support metrics for effective risk-informed asset management
Application of the risk-informed asset management (RIAM) method and associated decision support metrics described herein provides rigorous, systematic, prudent decision-making support for proposed changes to plant equipment and associated operation and maintenance practices and policies at commercial nuclear power plants. A concept for preparing and implementing RIAM programs for power stations and generating companies has been presented herein. The primary figures-of-merit for change are profitability and safety whereby profitability is optimized within the constraints defined by recommended safety limits. The RIAM process presented uses a three-tier screening concept in conjunction with a plant availability model and safety model (event frequency modeling) to help efficiently and accurately identify profitable changes and to quantify impacts on safety. Because plant (or fleet) change decisions are generally associated with a high degree of uncertainty. The RIAM method presented includes uncertainty quantification to aid decision-makers in making decisions for favorable outcomes.
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