作为动态生态系统的大型基础设施:来自美国州际系统和波士顿大挖掘的教训

V. Greiman, E. Sclar
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引用次数: 2

摘要

从印度的智慧城市,到中国的南水北调工程,再到非洲的横贯西海岸高速公路,基础设施发展已经成为世界各国政府感兴趣的话题。值得注意的是,大型基础设施项目通常比最初的估计更加昂贵和耗时。有人认为,这些结果表明了项目决策的弱点。此外,当将项目收益与最终项目成本进行比较时,这些项目中有太多甚至不应该进行。虽然改进的项目前决策很重要,但我们认为这种事前/事后静态评估错过了这些努力中固有的重要变革影响。通常是在增加的成本和时间中嵌入的更大的内在制度变革创造了更大、更持久的实质性价值。由于大型项目具有变革性,它们改变了制度关系,创造了最初无法预见的新的社会效益和机会,如果没有项目,这些都不会发生。以波士顿的“大挖掘”为例,我们建议对这些项目进行更全面和综合的事后评价。我们将新的有形基础设施的创造与城市政治、经济和社会系统融合在一起,并在其中增加社会和经济价值。我们相信,这种全面的理解是有道理的,因为归根结底,这些更大的、不容易量化的影响,远远超过短期成本和收益的估计,无论数学是否复杂,都是世界各地中心城市和大都市地区福祉的最决定性因素。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Mega infrastructure as a dynamic ecosystem: Lessons from America’s interstate system and Boston’s big dig
Abstract Infrastructure development has become a subject of interest to governments in every corner of the world from India’s smart cities, to China’s South-to-North Water Transfer Project to Africa’s Trans-West Coastal Highway. Notably, megainfrastructure projects are typically more expensive and time consuming than initial estimates. It is contended that these results indicate weaknesses in project decision-making. Furthermore, when project benefits are compared to final project costs, too many of these projects should not even have been undertaken. While improved pre-project decision-making is important, we argue that such ex ante/ex post static evaluation misses the important transformative impacts inherent in these endeavors. It is often the larger inherent institutional transformations embedded in the increased cost and time that create larger and more enduring substantive value. Because megaprojects are transformative they change institutional relationships creating new social benefits and opportunities that could not have been initially foreseen and that would not have occurred in the project’s absence. Using Boston’s “Big Dig,” as case-in-point, we propose a more comprehensive and integrative evaluative ex post appreciation of such projects. We meld the creation of the new physical infrastructure with the urban political, economic and social systems within which it is embedded and within which it adds social and economic value. We believe such comprehensive understanding is warranted because in the final analysis it is these larger, not easily quantifiable, impacts, far more than short term cost and benefit estimations, regardless of mathematical sophistication, that are most determinative of the well-being of center cities and metropolitan regions around the world.
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