持续创新要素信贷策略

P. Houweling, Frederik Muskens, ROBBERT-JAN ‘T HOEN
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摘要

有大量的学术文献证明,要素溢价的存在使投资者能够构建比被动投资产生更好的风险调整回报的投资组合。为了确保这种基于因素的投资策略继续实现其目标,需要不断创新,例如,通过进一步加强因素定义和投资过程以及调查替代数据来源。在本文中,我们将展示最近在企业债券要素投资领域的两个创新例子。在第一项研究中,我们记录了如何将因素成功地应用于硬通货新兴市场信贷。在风险调整后的基础上,规模、低风险、价值和动量因素组合的表现优于新兴市场信贷领域,例如较高的夏普比率。多因素投资组合还受益于单个因素之间的多样化,获得最高的信息比。要素组合受益于自下而上的国家配置以及这些国家的债券选择。分析盈亏平衡交易成本表明,在考虑交易成本后,这些因素仍然具有吸引力。虽然一般因素提供了一个良好的起点,但更全面的风险评估限制了对无回报风险的暴露。在第二项研究中,我们扩展了先前的研究,表明提交给证券交易委员会的年度和季度公司报告的文本可以用来预测股票回报和波动性。我们研究这些报告中的文本是否对公司债券的回报和波动性也有帮助。特别是,我们测试了“不变”公司的债券,即随着时间的推移,其报告几乎没有变化的公司,是否优于“改变”公司的债券。在20年的大公司债券样本中,我们发现股票的结果确实延续到公司债券上:在投资级和高收益子样本中,非变化者每年的表现都比变化者好50个基点以上。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Continuous innovation in factor credit strategies
There is an large body of academic literature that documents the existence of factor premiums that enable investors to construct portolios that generate better risk-adjusted returns than passive investing. To ensure that such factor-based investment strategies continue to deliver on their objectives, continuous innovation is required, for example by further enhancing factor definitions and investment processes and investigating alternative sources of data. In this article we show two examples of recent innovations in the field of factor investing for corporate bonds.In the first study, we document how factors can be successfully applied to hard-currency emerging market credits. Size, low-risk, value and momentum factor portfolios outperform the emerging market credit universe on a risk-adjusted basis, for example shown by higher Sharpe ratios. A multi-factor portfolio moreover benefits from diversification between the individual factors and obtains the highest information ratio. The factor portfolios benefit from bottom-up allocations to countries as well as from bond selection within these countries. Analysing the break-even transaction costs shows that these factors remain attractive after taking transaction costs into account. While generic factors offer a good starting point, more complete risk-assessments limit the exposure to unrewarded risk. In the second study, we extend previous research that showed that the text from annual and quarterly corporate reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission can be used to predict equity returns and volatility. We examine whether the text in these reports is informative for corporate bond returns and volatility as well. Particularly, we test if bonds of ‘non-changers’, companies with few changes in their reports over time, outperform bonds of ‘changers’. In a large sample of corporate bonds over a twenty year period we find that results for equities do carry over to corporate bonds: in both the investment grade and high yield sub-samples non-changers outperform changers by more than 50bps annually.
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