斐济旅游市场趋同的检验

P. Narayan
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引用次数: 31

摘要

旅游市场趋同假说是基于这样一个原则:当旅游市场趋同时,一个国家的国际游客总人数与来自某一特定国家的国际游客总人数之差将是平稳的。我们认为,如果这是真的,那么也可以通过检查总游客入境人数和来自特定市场的游客入境人数是否协整来测试收敛性。我们通过使用单位根检验和协整检验,对来自八个旅游客源市场的斐济游客入境人数进行了检验。我们发现强有力的统计证据表明,斐济的旅游市场趋同。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Testing Convergence of Fijis Tourism Markets
The convergence hypothesis for tourism markets is based on the tenet that when tourism markets are converging the difference between total international visitor arrivals to a country and international visitor arrivals from a particular country will be stationary. We argue that if this is true, then convergence can also be tested through examining whether total visitor arrivals and visitor arrivals from a particular market are co-integrated. We test the convergence hypothesis by examining visitor arrivals to Fiji from eight tourist source markets, using both unit root and co-integration tests. We find strong statistical evidence that Fijis tourism markets converge.
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