不同现金流量估值贴现方法的等价性:确定税盾贴现价值的不同选择及其对估值的影响

Pablo Fernández
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引用次数: 17

摘要

本文讨论了用现金流折现法对企业进行估值的问题。第一部分介绍了四种最常用的现金流量折现评估方法(按WACC折现的自由现金流量;权益持有人可用现金流量按权益流量要求的回报折现;按WACC贴现的税前资本现金流量;和调整后现值)总是给出相同的值。这个结果是合乎逻辑的,因为所有的方法都在相同的假设下分析相同的现实;它们的不同之处在于用作估值起点的流量。关于企业估值的各种理论的分歧来自于对税收盾贴现价值(DVTS)的计算。本文展示并分析了7种不同的DVTS计算理论:Modigliani and Miller(1963)、Myers(1974)、Miller(1977)、Miles and Ezzell(1980)、Harris and Pringle(1985)、Ruback(1995)、Damodaran(1994)和Practitioners method。Myers的方法(1974)给出了不一致的结果。在分析不同理论给出的结果时,应该记住,DVTS实际上不是由于利息支付以一定比率贴现而节省的税收的现值,而是两个现值之间的差值:无债务公司所支付的税收的现值减去有债务公司所支付的税收的现值。无负债公司纳税的风险小于有负债公司纳税的风险。本文还分析了债券的市场价值与账面价值不匹配时估值公式的变化。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Equivalence of the Different Discounted Cash Flow Valuation Methods: Different Alternatives for Determining the Discounted Value of Tax Shields and Their Implications for the Valuation
This paper addresses the valuation of firms by cash flow discounting. The first part shows that the four most commonly used discounted cash flow valuation methods (free cash flow discounted at the WACC; cash flow available for equity holders discounted at the required return on the equity flows; capital cash flow discounted at the WACC before taxes; and Adjusted Present Value) always give the same value. This result is logical because all the methods analyse the same reality under the same hypotheses; they differ only in the flows used as the starting point for the valuation. The disagreements in the various theories on the valuation of the firm arise from the calculation of the discounted value of tax shields (DVTS). The paper shows and analyses 7 different theories on the calculation of the DVTS: Modigliani and Miller (1963), Myers (1974), Miller (1977), Miles and Ezzell (1980), Harris and Pringle (1985), Ruback (1995), Damodaran (1994), and Practitioners method. It is shown that Myers' method (1974) gives inconsistent results. When analysing the results given by the different theories, it should be remembered that the DVTS is not actually the present value of the tax saving due to the payment of interested discounted at a certain rate but the difference between two present values: the present value of the taxes paid by the firm with no debt minus the present value of the taxes paid by the company with debt. The risk of the taxes paid by the company with no debt is less than the risk of the taxes paid by the company with debt. The paper also shows the changes that take place in the valuation formulas when the debt's market value does not match its book value.
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