2008-2018年墨西哥工业部门银行信贷的决定因素

David Salvador Cisneros Zepeda
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摘要

影响,因为在这些组织中创造了新的就业机会和新的收入,这有助于经济增长。然而,工业化企业需要获取资源才能发展,而获得资源的途径之一就是通过银行信贷;从这个意义上说,由于金融和银行体系中一系列事件(如市场多元化-银行多元化-监管不力)造成的现有信贷约束,它成为一个复杂的局面。本文调查了墨西哥工业部门获得的银行贷款的决定因素。定量数据对应2008-2018年;然而,ENAFIN数据库包含2010年至2018年的数据,这对使研究更加稳健产生了限制。PROBIT和TOBIT的回归分析结果显示,当经济好转时,工业企业获得银行贷款的概率(94%)会增加;相反,银行其他项目贷款的增加和信用申请的增加使可能性下降(分别为24%和15%)。基于这些结果,我们得出了有助于改善银行信贷与工业部门企业联系的政治影响的紧迫性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Determinantes del crédito bancario otorgado al sector industrial mexicano, 2008-2018
impact, since new jobs and new income are created in these organizations, which help economic growth. However, the companies of the industrial turn need to acquire resources to be able to develop, and one of the ways to achieve it is through bank credit; In this sense, it becomes a complex situation due to the existing credit constraint, derived from a series of events in the financial and banking system, such as the diversification of markets - multiple banking - and weak regulations. This article investigates the determinants for a bank loan granted to be destined to the industrial sector in Mexico. The quantitative data correspond to the period 2008-2018; However, the ENAFIN database contains data from 2010 to 2018, generating a limitation to make the research more robust. The regression analyzes used - PROBIT and TOBIT - show a forecast that when the economy improves, the probability (94%) that an approved bank loan will be granted to a company in the industrial sector increases; on the other hand, an increase in the amounts of bank loans granted to other items and a rise in the number of credit applications make the probability decrease (24% and 15%, respectively). Based on these results, the urgency of the political implications that help improve the link of bank credit with companies in the industrial sector is derived.
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