一条长腿和一条短腿造成不稳定的平衡

Nicolae Gârleanu, Stavros Panageas, Geoffery Zheng
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引用次数: 3

摘要

我们提供的证据表明,WSB子reddit上的在线讨论对许多股票的卖空策略的盈利能力产生了实质性的负面影响——即使是那些在子reddit上没有被大量讨论的股票,也没有经历过零售交易量异常增加的股票。我们提供了一个模型来解释卖空者的恐惧是如何自我实现的。在该模型中,股票市场和贷款市场必须共同出清。尽管有标准假设,但该模型具有多重均衡和卖空主体的“跑型”行为。更广泛地说,该模型提供了一个易于处理的框架来解释一些关于短期利率、贷款费用和预期回报之间关系的实证观察结果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Long and a Short Leg Make For a Wobbly Equilibrium
We provide evidence that the online discussion on the WSB subreddit had a substantial negative impact on the profitability of shorting strategies across a number of stocks — even those that were neither heavily discussed on the subreddit, nor experienced an unusual increase in retail buying volume. We provide a model to explain how fears among short sellers can become self-fulfilling. In the model, the market for shares and the lending market must clear jointly. Despite standard assumptions, the model features multiple equilibria and "run-type'' behavior by shorting agents. More broadly, the model provides a tractable framework to interpret several empirical observations on the relation between short interest, lending fees, and expected returns.
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