利用气象测量预测森林火灾的深度学习方法

Naaman Omar, Adel Al-zebari, A. Şengur
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引用次数: 7

摘要

森林火灾是一个严重的环境问题,造成经济和生态损害,并使人类生命处于危险之中。控制这种情况需要快速识别。一种选择是采用基于某些测量的人工智能(AI)技术,例如气象站提供的测量结果。众所周知,气象测量,即温度、相对湿度、降雨和风会影响森林火灾,许多火灾指数,如森林火灾天气指数(FWI),都依赖于这些信息。本文采用深度学习方法,即基于长短期记忆(LSTM)的回归方法对森林火灾进行有效预测。LSTM方法是最近在机器学习领域流行的一种递归神经网络(RNN)。实验使用了一个包含12个特征和536个实例的数据集。数据集在UCI机器存储库中可用。实验中使用了hold-out交叉验证方法,并使用各种指标来评估所提出模型成果的准确性。结果表明,该方法可以产生合理的预测,并且优于传统的机器学习方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Deep Learning Approach to Predict Forest Fires Using Meteorological Measurements
Forest fires are a serious environmental concern that causes economic and ecological harm as well as puts human lives in danger. Controlling such a condition necessitates quick identification. One option is to employ artificial intelligence (AI) techniques based on some measurements, such as those supplied by meteorological stations. Meteorological measurements namely temperature, relative humidity, rain, and wind are known to impact forest fires, and numerous fire indices, such as the Forest Fire Weather Index (FWI), rely on this information. In this paper, a deep learning approach namely the long short-term memory (LSTM) based regression method is used for efficient prediction of the forest fires. The LSTM approach is a recurrent neural network (RNN) that has become popular recently in the field of machine learning. A dataset that contains 12 features and 536 instances is used in the experimental works. The dataset is available in the UCI machine repository. The hold-out cross-validation method is used in the experiments and various metrics are used to evaluate the accuracy of the proposed model achievements. The results show that the proposed method produces reasonable predictions and outperforms traditional machine learning approaches.
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