基于遗传算法的神经网络区域列岛游客入境及出境预测

Mohamad Ilyas Abas, Alter Lasarudin
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摘要

旅游者是世界旅游业不可分割的一部分。一般来说,游客参观是为了了解一个地区的多样性。在哥伦塔洛,有几个旅游景点被国内外游客参观。这当然是一大笔钱,因此它可以帮助提高哥伦塔洛旅游业的经济增长。因此需要了解来年的游客数量。因此,它可以为政府提供一个分析考虑的决定,以便能够准备步骤,建设旅游业的经济部门。利用数据挖掘中的神经网络方法,可以对游客数量进行预测。神经网络是预测非线性数据集(如游客数量)的一种很好的方法。用神经网络的方法可以做到。不仅如此,还将使用遗传算法对神经网络的参数进行优化,使其可以提高用均方根误差(RMSE)值测量的精度值。研究结果表明,国内旅游数据的RMSE值分别为:哥伦塔洛市:0.116,哥伦塔洛县:0.220,波阿勒莫:0.073,波胡瓦托:0.142,博朗戈骨:0.078,北哥伦塔洛:0.093。对于外国游客来说,戈伦塔洛市:0.117,戈伦塔洛摄政:0.178,博阿莱莫:0.075,波胡瓦托:0.099,博朗戈骨:0.124,北戈伦塔洛:0.155。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Prediction of Arrival of Archipelago Tourists and Abroad Based on Regions Using Neural Network Algorithm Based on Genetic Algorithm
Tourists are an integral part of the world of tourism. Generally tourists visit to see the diversity of an area. In Gorontalo, several tourist attractions have been visited by domestic and foreign tourists. This is certainly a large amount so that it can help improve economic growth in Gorontalo from the tourism sector. Therefore the need for knowledge of the number of tourists for the coming year. So that, it can provide an analysis of the consideration of the decision to the government to be able to prepare steps in building the economy of the tourism sector. The number of tourists can be made a prediction using the method in data mining namely the Neural Network. Neural Network is a good method for predicting non-linear datasets such as number of tourists. with the Neural Network method it can be done. Not only that, Genetic Algorithm will be used to optimize the parameters of the Neural Network so that it can increase the accuracy value that can be measured with the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) value. The results of this study indicate that the value of RMSE for domestic tourist data as follows: Gorontalo City: 0.116, Gorontalo Regency: 0.220, Boalemo: 0.073, Pohuwato: 0.142, Bone Bolango: 0.078, North Gorontalo: 0.093. For foreign tourists, Gorontalo City: 0.117, Gorontalo Regency: 0.178, Boalemo: 0.075, Pohuwato: 0.099, Bone Bolango: 0.124, North Gorontalo: 0.155.
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