法默对气候变化适应的意图

D. Renita, R. Anindita
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究的目的是描述农民对气候变化感知的地方知识,并基于计划行为理论分析农民对气候变化适应的意愿。采用的抽样方法为简单随机抽样,人口为研究地点的农民。使用描述性统计分析和结构方程建模-偏最小二乘法(SEM-PLS)来分析数据,以生成有关农民对气候变化行为的信息。调查结果显示,57.5%的受访者认为雨季的强度和气温正在发生显著变化,40%的受访者也认为气温正在升高。65%的受访者表示,气候变化是由森林砍伐或伐木造成的。然而,有17.5%的受访者认为工厂造成了气候变化。气候变化的影响导致水稻病虫害增加,土地生产力显著下降。在结构方程模型中,主观规范和感知行为控制正向影响农民适应气候变化的意愿。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
FARMER’S INTENTION ON CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION
The purposes of this research is to describe local knowledge of farmer’s perception toward climate change and to analyze farmer’s intention toward climate change adaptation based on the theory of planned behavior. The sampling method used is simple random sampling with the population is the farmers in the research location. Data was analyzed using descriptive statistics analysis and also structural equation modeling – partial least square (SEM-PLS) for generating information regarding farners behavior toward climate change. The results showed that 57.5 percent of respondents said that the intensity of rainy season and the temperature were changing significantly and 40 percent respodents also agree that the temperature was getting higher. There was 65% of respondents said that the climate change was driven by deforestration or logging. However, there was 17.5% of respondents said that factories have caused the climate change. Impact of climate change cause increasing pests and diseases attacking paddy crops and decreasing significantly of land productivity. For the structural equation modeling, subjective norm and perceived behavior control infuence positively the intention of farmers’ adaptation toward climate change.
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