基于大数据和优化神经网络的短期电力负荷预测研究

Xiazhe Tu, Juhua Hong, Shicheng Huang, Linyao Zhang, Zhenda Hu, Yichao Zou, Weiwei Lin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在电力系统运行过程中,短期负荷预测是能源管理系统的基本组成部分,也是电力调度系统运行的重要依据。准确的短期负荷预测有助于管理者在工作中提出规范的发电计划,采取合理措施保障电网系统的性能,有效控制发电成本,提高电力系统运行的社会效益和经济效益。因此,本文在了解负荷预测技术应用现状的基础上,根据人工神经网络的应用优势,构建了以大数据为核心的神经网络短期负荷预测模型。最后的实验结果表明,改进的粒子群优化算法能够进一步提高负荷预测的准确性和效率,对电力系统的长远发展具有积极的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Research on short-term power load forecasting based on big data and optimized neural network
During the operation of power system, short-term load forecasting is a basic component of energy management system, and also an important basis for the operation of power dispatching system. Accurate forecasting of short-term load is helpful for managers to put forward standard power generation plan during work, take reasonable measures to protect the performance of power grid system, effectively control the cost of power generation, and improve the social and economic benefits of power system operation. Therefore, on the basis of understanding the application status of load forecasting technology and according to the application advantages of artificial neural network, this paper constructs a short-term load forecasting model of neural network with big data as the core. The final experimental results show that the improved particle swarm optimization algorithm can further improve the accuracy and efficiency of load forecasting, which has a positive impact on the long-term development of power system.
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