21世纪的乌普萨拉模式

Jan-Erik Vahlne
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摘要

Uppsala国际化过程模型(简称Uppsala模型)在1977年提出时,有三个基本前提:过程本体、行为假设和不确定性的存在。在所有行动者中,跨国商业企业还处于起步阶段,它们的未来还不得而知。后来,该模型被扩展到涵盖MBEs的演变,包括国际化、全球化和特征发展等因素促使变化并使其成为可能。同样,知识概念被能力、可操作的和动态的取代,很好地适应了模型的其他概念。新古典主义认为企业是市场上的一个独立单位,这种观点被认为是不现实的。相反,企业、mbe和中小型企业被视为嵌入与其他合作和竞争参与者的网络中。不过,2017年版本的机制与最初版本相同。希望最新的版本可以作为“企业理论”研究范围内的工具,并作为更多因果机制研究的平台,随后应用于规范性结论。由此可见,静态横截面统计方法并不完全令人满意。动态分析方法的应用需要对纵向数据收集进行投资,这是昂贵的,并且必须由机构而不是个人来执行。一个梦想是,乌普萨拉模型可以用作构建现实的宏观经济研究的垫脚石。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Uppsala Model in the Twenty-First Century
When it was developed in 1977, the Uppsala internationalization process model (Uppsala model for short) had three basic premises: process ontology, behavioral assumptions, and the presence of uncertainty. Multinational business enterprises (MBEs), among all actors, were in their infancy, and their future could not be known. Later on, the model was extended to cover the evolution of the MBEs, with factors such as internationalization, globalization, and the development of characteristics prompting changes and making them possible. Likewise, the knowledge concept was substituted for by capabilities, operational and dynamic, fitting well the other concepts of the model. The neoclassical view of the firm as an independent unit on the market is considered unrealistic. Instead, firms, MBEs, and small and medium enterprises are seen as embedded in networks with other cooperating and competing actors. The mechanisms of the 2017 version, though, are the same as in the original version. Hopefully, the latest version can be used as a tool within the scope of the “theory of the firm” research and as a platform for more studies on causal mechanisms, later to be applied in normative conclusions. It follows that static cross-sectional statistical methods are not fully satisfactory. Application of dynamic analytical methods requires investment in longitudinal data collection, which is costly, and has to be performed by institutions rather than individuals. A dream is that the Uppsala model can be used as a stepping stone in the construction of realistic macro-level studies of the economy.
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