构建基于多智能体的进化人工市场模拟真实市场动态

Chi Xu, Na Jia
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文将历史数据研究和多智能体人工市场研究相结合,提出了一种模拟真实市场动态的自适应系统。采用遗传算法对人工双拍卖市场中不同主体的比例进行演化。本研究的目的是构建一个人造市场,使其产生与真实市场尽可能相似的动态。异构智能体模型和智能体与市场相互作用的环境是复杂的,但通过数据挖掘不同智能体对市场的最优输入比例,产生符合历史数据曲线的输出是可控的。仿真结果表明,在事先进行充分训练的情况下,系统性能接近测试期望值。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Imitation of Real Market Dynamics by Construction of Multi-agent Based Evolutionary Artificial Market
In this paper, an adaptive system is proposed which attempts to imitate a real market dynamics by combining together the approaches of studies of historical data and researches of multi-agent artificial market. The proportion of different agents is evolved by genetic algorithm in an artificial double auction market. The purpose of this research is to construct an artificial market which generates the dynamics of real market as similar as possible. The model with heterogeneous agents and the environment with which agents and market interact is complicated but controllable by data mining the optimal proportion of the different agents at the input to the market that generates an output which can fit historical data curve. The simulation results suggest that the system performance is close to the expecting values in the testing with adequate training in advance.
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