{"title":"金砖国家证券市场月度效应评价","authors":"S. V. Vatrushkin","doi":"10.24891/df.23.2.172","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Importance This article considers and discusses the issues related to the determination of the month-of-the-year effect on the securities markets of the BRICS nations. For it is known that temporal effects indicate a stock market's low efficiency. Objectives The article aims to obtain results of a cross-country analysis of the month-of-the-year effect on the stock markets of the BRICS countries and determine the efficiency of the markets under consideration. Methods For the study, I used the regression and econometric analyses approaches applying the Microsoft Excel and Gretl software. Results I examined the stock exchanges of the BRICS countries and determined the stability of the month-of-the-year effect. The latter is defined only for the IBOV, RTS, and TOP40 indexes, which are the major market ones in the Brazilian Stock Exchange (BM&FBOVESPA), Moscow Exchange, and the Johannesburg Stock Exchange Limited, respectively. Based on the findings, I present the estimated degree of information efficiency of each of the analyzed markets. The obtained results may also be used to develop a trading strategy to increase the profitability of multinational investment portfolio. Conclusions and Relevance The article concludes that the month-of-the-year effect is individual concerning only several indexes under consideration. This contradicts the efficient-market hypothesis, according to which the financial asset quotes get formed independently.","PeriodicalId":111899,"journal":{"name":"Digest Finance","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2018-06-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Evaluation of the Month-of-the-Year Effect on the Securities Markets of the BRICS Nations\",\"authors\":\"S. V. Vatrushkin\",\"doi\":\"10.24891/df.23.2.172\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Importance This article considers and discusses the issues related to the determination of the month-of-the-year effect on the securities markets of the BRICS nations. For it is known that temporal effects indicate a stock market's low efficiency. Objectives The article aims to obtain results of a cross-country analysis of the month-of-the-year effect on the stock markets of the BRICS countries and determine the efficiency of the markets under consideration. Methods For the study, I used the regression and econometric analyses approaches applying the Microsoft Excel and Gretl software. Results I examined the stock exchanges of the BRICS countries and determined the stability of the month-of-the-year effect. The latter is defined only for the IBOV, RTS, and TOP40 indexes, which are the major market ones in the Brazilian Stock Exchange (BM&FBOVESPA), Moscow Exchange, and the Johannesburg Stock Exchange Limited, respectively. Based on the findings, I present the estimated degree of information efficiency of each of the analyzed markets. The obtained results may also be used to develop a trading strategy to increase the profitability of multinational investment portfolio. Conclusions and Relevance The article concludes that the month-of-the-year effect is individual concerning only several indexes under consideration. This contradicts the efficient-market hypothesis, according to which the financial asset quotes get formed independently.\",\"PeriodicalId\":111899,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Digest Finance\",\"volume\":\"1 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2018-06-27\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Digest Finance\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.24891/df.23.2.172\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Digest Finance","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.24891/df.23.2.172","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Evaluation of the Month-of-the-Year Effect on the Securities Markets of the BRICS Nations
Importance This article considers and discusses the issues related to the determination of the month-of-the-year effect on the securities markets of the BRICS nations. For it is known that temporal effects indicate a stock market's low efficiency. Objectives The article aims to obtain results of a cross-country analysis of the month-of-the-year effect on the stock markets of the BRICS countries and determine the efficiency of the markets under consideration. Methods For the study, I used the regression and econometric analyses approaches applying the Microsoft Excel and Gretl software. Results I examined the stock exchanges of the BRICS countries and determined the stability of the month-of-the-year effect. The latter is defined only for the IBOV, RTS, and TOP40 indexes, which are the major market ones in the Brazilian Stock Exchange (BM&FBOVESPA), Moscow Exchange, and the Johannesburg Stock Exchange Limited, respectively. Based on the findings, I present the estimated degree of information efficiency of each of the analyzed markets. The obtained results may also be used to develop a trading strategy to increase the profitability of multinational investment portfolio. Conclusions and Relevance The article concludes that the month-of-the-year effect is individual concerning only several indexes under consideration. This contradicts the efficient-market hypothesis, according to which the financial asset quotes get formed independently.