一个集中的方法来模拟集体家庭决策:一些初步结果

R. Aaberge, U. Colombino, F. Perali
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引用次数: 0

摘要

采用集体方法的劳动供给实证模型通常采用分散式表征和简化形式的分享规则规范。该程序有两个关键的缺点,原则上使其不适用于被认为与该系列模型最相关的同一类型的应用程序,即税制改革模拟。第一个问题与分散的代表权有关。分散家庭福利最大化的可能性取决于预算集的凸性。然而,实际的税收制度和税收改革都可能意味着重大的非凸性:这使得分散的表示通常不适合估计和模拟。第二个问题涉及分享规则的规范,这通常不是结构性规则,而是一种简化形式,例如外生变量(工资率、非劳动所得等)的组合。这种说明可能对当前税收规则下的当前家庭内部分配选择提供一个合理的近似,但一般来说,它不能用于模拟不同税收规则的影响。类似地,根据双方是否工作,共享规则一般也会有所不同。我们提出了一个可以估计结构共享规则的模型,并给出了一些初步的结果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Centralized Approach to Modelling Collective Household Decisions: Some Preliminary Results
Empirical models of labour supply adopting the collective approach have commonly used the decentralized representation and a reduced form specification of the sharing rule. This procedure has two crucial drawbacks that in principle make it inappropriate for the very same type of applications that are thought to be mostly relevant for this family of models, i.e. tax reform simulations. The first problem concerns the decentralized representation. The possibility of decentralizing the maximization of household welfare rests on the convexity of the budget sets. However, both the actual tax systems and the tax reforms might imply significant non-convexities: this makes the decentralized representation in general inappropriate both for estimation and for simulation. The second problem concerns the specification of the sharing rule, which typically is not a structural one, but rather a reduced form, e.g. a combination of exogenous variables (wage rates, unearned incomes etc.). Such a specification might provide a reasonable approximation to the current intra-household allocation choices under the current tax rule, but in general it cannot be used for simulating the effects of a different tax rule. Analogously, the sharing rule in general will be different depending on whether both partners work or not. We propose – and illustrate with some preliminary results – a model that permits the estimation of a structural sharing rule.
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