人工神经网络在天气预报中的应用综述

Ushakiran Huiningsumbam, Anjali Jain, Neelam Verma
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引用次数: 1

摘要

预测被认为是当今最重要和最复杂的工作之一。天气预报是一个自然过程,它需要预测大气条件随时间的变化。由于对天气的粗暴预测和方法,它已成为科学家研究和分析的核心领域。天气预报一直是一项具有挑战性的任务。在一些情况下,科学家和研究人员试图在输入和目标天气数据之间建立线性关联。由于天气本质上是非线性和动态的,因此目标已转向非线性天气数据的预测。虽然天气预报相对而言是一种统计度量,而且是自动化的,但使用传统工具,其结果相当不确定,而且并不总是准确的。由于其非线性和复杂的过程,解决这类问题的最佳方法是使用人工神经网络(ANN)。人工神经网络以其更高的效率、可靠性和准确性简化了天气预报。人工神经网络的特点不仅在于分析过去的数据,而且还在于获取未来的预测,使其更适合天气预报。神经网络是一个相当复杂的网络,其本质是柔韧的。它可以自动学习现有的训练数据,从而形成一种新的智能模式,用于预测天气。对各种用于天气预报的神经网络技术进行了综述,并观察到通过简单地增加隐藏层的数量,训练好的神经网络可以以最小的误差对天气变量进行预测和分类。本文将预测分析算法与反向传播网络(BPN)相结合,通过训练网络来预测未来天气。在这些调查中,各种研究人员对这一学科取得的技术里程碑进行了审查和介绍。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Artificial Neural Network for Weather Forecasting: A Review
Forecasting is considered one of the most imperative and perplex proceedings in the present-day. Weather forecasting is a natural process which entails the prediction of the change in the atmospheric conditions with the passage of time. It has become a core area of studies and analysis for the scientist owing to the brusque forecasts and approaches of weather. Weather forecasting has always been a challenging task. In several cases, scientists and researchers had attempted in establishing a linear association between the input and targeted data of the weather. Since, weather is non-linear and dynamic in nature, the target has shifted to prediction of non-linear weather data. Though weather prediction is relatively a statistical measure and is automated, with the traditional tools, its result is rather uncertain and not always accurate. Due to its non-linearity and complex process, the best approach for resolving such problems is with the use of Artificial Neural Network (ANN). ANN simplify the weather predictions with its better efficiency, reliability and accuracy. The features of ANN are not just to analyse the past data but also to acquire future predictions rendering to be much ideal for weather forecasting. NN is rather a complicated network which are pliable and flexible in nature. It is autodidactic with its existing training data consequently forging a new smart pattern useful for predicting the weather. Survey of various techniques of NN for weather prediction is provided and it is observed that by simply increasing the number of hidden layers the trained NN can predict and classify the weather variables with minimal error. In this paper, predictive analysis algorithm is incorporated with back propagation network(BPN) to predict future weather by training the network. The technical milestone, where various researchers have acquired on this discipline has been reviewed and presented in these surveys.
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