经理们的预算技巧

Derek-Teshun Huang
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摘要

本文报告了对所有经济部门的企业管理者预算策略的研究结果。在本研究中,预算策略被定义为管理者对当年的销售、成本和利润预测进行蓄意和有预谋的操纵,并将过度保守的形象投射到他们的预算中。本研究的目的是:(1)了解预算对绩效衡量的作用;(2)了解预算博弈行为;(3)考察组织因素、预算信息不对称问题与预算博弈行为之间的关系。采用判断抽样的方法,选取制造业企业104家,服务业企业51家。问卷是通过亲自采访每家公司的经理来填写的。本研究的结果揭示了以下重要信息:1。在台湾,平均有一半的企业经理人有时会表现出预算游戏行为。预算博弈行为与组织文化和基于预算的绩效评估体系有关。2. 超过75%的台湾企业使用预算目标作为绩效衡量指标。3.避免预算博弈行为的方法包括:加强量化模型的预测能力,使预算目标合理、可实现。4. 其他组织因素(如企业规模和产品复杂性等)与预算博弈行为之间没有显著的关系。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
BUDGETING GAMESMANSHIP IN MANAGERS
This paper reports the findings of research concerning the budgeting gamesmanship of managers in firms operating in all sectors of the economy. Budgeting gamesmanship in this study is defined as the deliberate and premeditated manipulation of the current year's sales, cost, and profit forecasts by managers, and projects an overly conservative image into their budgets. The objectives of this study are: (1) To understand the role of budgeting on performance measurement, (2) To gain an understanding of budgeting gamesmanship behavior, (3) To examine the relationship among organizational factors, asymmetric information problem of budget and budgeting gamesmanship behavior. Based on a judgment sampling approach, samples consisting of 104 firms from manufacturing industry and 51 firms from service industry were selected. Questionnaires were filled out by personally interviewing managers in each firm. The results of this research reveal the following important information: 1. On average, one half of managers in firm sometimes show budgeting gamesmanship behavior in Taiwan. Budgetary gamesmanship behavior was related to the organizational culture and performance measurement system based on budgeting. 2. Over 75% of the firms in Taiwan used the budgeting target as the indicator of performance measurements. 3. Methods to avoid budgeting gamesmanship behavior include: strengthening forecasting ability with quantitative models and making budgeting targets reasonable and attainable. 4. There were no significant relationship between the other organizational factors (such as firm's scale and product complexity, etc.) and budgetary gamesmanship behavior.
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