对高频市场的交易行为进行建模

M. Aloud, E. Tsang
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引用次数: 3

摘要

我们使用基于代理的方法来模拟高频市场中的交易行为。本研究的重点是外汇市场。本研究的最初部分是观察交易者的微观行为,以定义其交易活动的风格化事实。这是使用由OANDA Ltd.提供的匿名个人交易者账户级别历史交易的高频数据集来执行的。该数据集被认为是最大的可用高频数据集,处理外汇市场交易者的交易活动。第二步是建立基于代理的交易者模型。交易员被建模为对实际时间做出反应,以解释不同的市场季节性。交易者建模的关键要素是零智能方向变化事件、交易策略、历史价格、实际外汇市场交易者的行为、限价单、外汇市场交易时段和市场假日。利用识别的外汇市场交易活动的风格化事实,我们评估了交易代理人的集体交易行为。比较结果表明,交易代理人的集体交易行为在一定程度上类似于外汇市场交易者的集体交易行为。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Modelling the trading behaviour in high-frequency markets
We use an agent-based approach to model trading behaviour in high-frequency markets. This study focuses on the Foreign Exchange (FX) market. The initial part of this study is to observe the micro-behaviour of traders to define the stylized facts of their trading activities. This is performed using a high-frequency dataset of anonymised individual traders' historical transactions on an account level, provided by OANDA Ltd. This dataset is considered to be the biggest available high-frequency dataset dealing with the individual FX market traders' trading activities. The second step is to build agent-based models of traders. The traders are modelled to respond to physical time to account for the different market seasonalities. The key elements in modeling the traders are zero-intelligence directional-change events trading strategy, historical prices, actual FX market traders' behaviour, limit orders, FX market trading sessions and market holidays. Using the identified stylized facts of FX market trading activity, we evaluate the trading agents' collective trading behaviour. The results of this comparison indicate that the trading agents' collective trading behaviour resembles, to a certain extent, the collective trading behaviour of FX market traders.
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