发展中国家燃煤电厂改造的成本效益分析

G. Shrimali, A. Jindal
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引用次数: 1

摘要

淘汰老旧、污染和不经济的煤电厂的国家正在寻求将它们重新用于生产终端用途。在本文中,我们对一家具有代表性的燃煤电厂(1000兆瓦)进行了成本效益分析,并通过三种再利用方案——太阳能、电池储能系统(BESS)和同步冷凝器(SynCON),研究了燃煤电厂退役后再利用的价值主张。我们的主要发现包括以下几点。首先,重新利用的好处超过了相应的退役成本,而直接、间接和总退役成本分别为5811万美元、5931万美元和1.1742亿美元;相应的再用途效益分别高达1.279亿元、6.0594亿元及7.2873亿元。其次,再利用的直接和间接系统效益至少覆盖了再利用方案资本支出的60.02%。最后,基于高年份、高能量收费和关键定性因素;我们确定了适合重新利用的印度燃煤电厂的潜在名单。我们对成本和收益的经验估计提供了证据,证明重新利用燃煤电厂比单纯退役更有经济意义。根据这一分析制定的框架可以作为南非、智利和印度等煤炭产能接近淘汰的发展中国家的有用指南。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Cost-benefit analysis of coal-plant repurposing in developing countries
Countries retiring old, polluting and uneconomical coal plants are looking to repurpose them for productive end uses. In this paper, we undertake a cost-benefit analysis for a representative coal plant (1000 MW) and examine the value proposition of repurposing over decommissioning for coal plants across three repurposing options- solar, battery energy storage system (BESS) and synchronous condenser (SynCON). Our main findings include the following. First, the benefits of repurposing outweigh corresponding costs of decommissioning – while the direct, indirect and total decommissioning costs are $58.11 million, $59.31 million and $117.42 million, respectively; the corresponding repurposing benefits are up to $122.79 million, $605.94 million and $728.73 million, respectively. Second, the direct and indirect system benefits of repurposing cover at least 60.02% of the capital expenditure of the repurposing option(s). Finally, based on high vintage, high energy charges, and key qualitative factors; we identify a prospective list of Indian coal plants suited for repurposing. Our empirical estimation of costs and benefits provide evidence that repurposing makes an economic case for retiring coal plants over plain decommissioning. The framework developed under this analysis could act as a useful guide for developing countries with sizeable coal capacity nearing retirement such as South Africa, Chile and India.
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