动力系统多轨迹的多元时间序列逼近。互联网流量和COVID-19数据的应用

Victoria Rayskin
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引用次数: 2

摘要

利用动力系统模型的多轨迹,在逼近时间序列方面有许多好处。对于短期预测,可以通过随时切换到新的轨迹来实现高精度。阶段画像的不同长期趋势(向不同固定点的趋势)表征了受外部性影响的过程实现的不同情景。动力系统的相画像分析有助于观察方程是否恰当地描述了实际情况。我们还将动力系统方法(在\cite{R5}中讨论)扩展到具有外部控制的动力系统。我们通过租赁属性这个http URL平台数据的新示例来说明这些想法。我们还比较了该http URL和该http URL平台的阶段画像的定性属性以及两个平台用户的对应差异。在最后一个COVID-19数据示例中,我们讨论了各国确诊感染病例、康复病例和死亡病例短期预测的高准确性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Multivariate time series approximation by multiple trajectories of a dynamical system. Applications to internet traffic and COVID-19 data
Utilization of multiple trajectories of a dynamical system model provides us with several benefits in approximation of time series. For short term predictions a high accuracy can be achieved via switches to new trajectory at any time. Different long term trends (tendency to different stationary points) of the phase portrait characterize various scenarios of the process realization influenced by externalities. The dynamical system's phase portrait analysis helps to see if the equations properly describe the reality. We also extend the dynamical systems approach (discussed in \cite{R5}) to the dynamical systems with external control. We illustrate these ideas with the help of new examples of the rental properties this http URL platform data. We also compare the qualitative properties of this http URL and this http URL platforms' phase portraits and the corresponding differences of the two platforms' users. In our last example with COVID-19 data we discuss the high accuracy of the short term prediction of confirmed infection cases, recovery cases and death cases in various countries.
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