BUFFEST: Predicting Buffer Conditions and Real-time Requirements of HTTP(S) Adaptive Streaming Clients

Stalls during video playback are perhaps the most important indicator of a client's viewing experience. To provide the best possible service, a proactive network operator may therefore want to know the buffer conditions of streaming clients and use this information to help avoid stalls due to empty buffers. However, estimation of clients' buffer conditions is complicated by most streaming services being rate-adaptive, and many of them also encrypted. Rate adaptation reduces the correlation between network throughput and client buffer conditions. Usage of HTTPS prevents operators from observing information related to video chunk requests, such as indications of rate adaptation or other HTTP-level information. This paper presents BUFFEST, a novel classification framework that can be used to classify and predict streaming clients' buffer conditions from both HTTP and HTTPS traffic. To illustrate the tradeoffs between prediction accuracy and the available information used by classifiers, we design and evaluate classifiers of different complexity. At the core of BUFFEST is an event-based buffer emulator module for detailed analysis of clients' buffer levels throughout a streaming session, as well as for automated training and evaluation of online packet-level classifiers. We then present example results using simple threshold-based classifiers and machine learning classifiers that only use TCP/IP packet-level information. Our results are encouraging and show that BUFFEST can distinguish streaming clients with low buffer conditions from clients with significant buffer margin during a session even when HTTPS is used.