{"title":"短期预测","authors":"J. R. Freeland","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.1421677","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This technical note presents material on procedures and techniques for forecasting over the next year. Specifically, methods for measuring forecast accuracy and the techniques for time-series forecasting using exponential smoothing with trend and seasonality are presented. Ways of monitoring forecasts and adaptive control procedures are also discussed.","PeriodicalId":174643,"journal":{"name":"Entrepreneurship Educator: Courses","volume":"70 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2009-06-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Short-Range Forecasting\",\"authors\":\"J. R. Freeland\",\"doi\":\"10.2139/ssrn.1421677\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"This technical note presents material on procedures and techniques for forecasting over the next year. Specifically, methods for measuring forecast accuracy and the techniques for time-series forecasting using exponential smoothing with trend and seasonality are presented. Ways of monitoring forecasts and adaptive control procedures are also discussed.\",\"PeriodicalId\":174643,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Entrepreneurship Educator: Courses\",\"volume\":\"70 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2009-06-18\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Entrepreneurship Educator: Courses\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1421677\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Entrepreneurship Educator: Courses","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1421677","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
This technical note presents material on procedures and techniques for forecasting over the next year. Specifically, methods for measuring forecast accuracy and the techniques for time-series forecasting using exponential smoothing with trend and seasonality are presented. Ways of monitoring forecasts and adaptive control procedures are also discussed.