基于模糊参数化模糊软矩阵的COVID-19诊断、优先治疗和疫苗接种规划

Zeynep Parla Parmaksiz, Burak Arslan, S. Memiş, Serdar Enginoğlu
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引用次数: 3

摘要

在抗击新冠肺炎大流行的过程中,快速诊断可能的传染,治疗患者,正确有效利用资源,规划后续程序,确保形成群体免疫至关重要。机器学习和统计方法的使用为处理研究过程中产生的大量数据提供了极大的便利。由于用于诊断COVID-19的PCR检测的可及性可能有限,因此该检测产生结果的速度相对太慢,成本较高,而且其可靠性存在争议;因此,在聚合酶链反应之前进行症状分类既节省时间,成本也低得多。本研究通过改进基于比较矩阵的模糊参数化模糊软分类器(FPFS-CMC)这一最先进的分类方法,开发了一种快速诊断COVID-19的有效方法。然后,本文介绍了准确度、灵敏度、特异性和f1评分值,这些值代表了改进方法的诊断性能。结果表明,改进后的方法可作为一种有效、准确的诊断方法。之后,通过计算患者的风险评分来管理医疗机构的住院患者过度拥挤,进行了一项随机研究。在接下来的章节中,如果高传染性的新冠病毒变体对疫苗不敏感,则在可能出现危机的情况下,直到新开发的疫苗供应不足为止,使用疫苗优先算法。该算法的准确性用实际数据进行了测试。最后,讨论了进一步研究的需要。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Diagnosing COVID-19, Prioritizing Treatment, and Planning Vaccination Priority via Fuzzy Parameterized Fuzzy Soft Matrices
In the fight against the COVID-19 pandemic, it is vital to rapidly diagnose possible contagions, treat patients, plan follow-up procedures with correct and effective use of resources and ensure the formation of herd immunity. The use of machine learning and statistical methods provides great convenience in dealing with too many data produced during research. Since access to the PCR test used for the diagnosis of COVID-19 may be limited, the test is relatively too slow to yield results, the cost is high, and its reliability is controversial; thus, making a symptomatic classification before the PCR is timesaving and far less costly. In this study, by modifying a state-of-the-art classification method, namely Comparison Matrix-Based Fuzzy Parameterized Fuzzy Soft Classifier (FPFS-CMC), an effective method is developed for a rapid diagnosis of COVID-19. The paper then presents the accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and F1-score values that represent the diagnostic performances of the modified method. The results show that the modified method can be adopted as a competent and accurate diagnosis procedure. Afterwards, a tirage study is performed by calculating the patients’ risk scores to manage inpatient overcrowding in healthcare institutions. In the subsequent section, a vaccine priority algorithm is proposed to be used in the case of a possible crisis until the supply shortage of a newly developed vaccine is over if a possible variant of COVID-19 that is highly contagious is insensitive to the vaccine. The accuracy of the algorithm is tested with real-life data. Finally, the need for further research is discussed.
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