混合CNN和LSTM模型(HCLM)短期交通量预测

Mohamed Mead
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引用次数: 1

摘要

管理城市道路上的交通,特别是拥挤的道路,需要不断和迅速的干预,以避免这些道路上的交通拥堵。预测道路上的车辆数量有助于避免道路拥堵,引导其中一些车辆转向其他路线。本文研究了如何利用深度学习模型和不同时间间隔的时间序列数据集来预测道路交通量,从而解决道路拥堵问题。提出了一种用于道路交通量预测的CNN和LSTM混合模型(HCLM)。确定适合该问题的CNN-LSTM混合模型和参数是本研究的主要目标。结果证实,提出了时间序列预测HCLM达到更好的预测精度比自回归移动平均(ARIMA)模型集成,CNN模型,和LSTM模型平均绝对误差(MAE)和均方根误差(RMSE)措施的时间间隔25分钟,75分钟。建立这些模型所需的时间也比较,和模型HCLM表现,因为它需要70%的时间来构建它最接近的竞争对手。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Hybrid CNN and LSTM Model (HCLM) for Short-Term Traffic Volume Prediction
: Managing traffic on roads within cities, especially crowded roads, requires constant and rapid intervention to avoid any traffic congestion on these roads. Forecasting the volume of vehicles on the roads helps to avoid congestion on the roads by directing some of these vehicles to alternative routes. In this paper, it is studied how to deal with road congestion by using deep learning models and Time series dataset with different time intervals to predict the volume of road traffic. Hybrid CNN and LSTM model (HCLM) is developed to predict the volume of road traffic. Determining the suitable hybrid CNN-LSTM model and parameters for this problem is a major objective of this research. The results confirm that the proposed HCLM for time series prediction achieves much better prediction accuracy than autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, CNN model, and LSTM model for Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) measures at a time interval of 25 min and, 75 min. The time required to build these models was also compared, and the model HCLM was outperformed as it required 70% of the time to build it from its nearest competitor.
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