利用光伏系统和神经网络进行天气预报

I. Isa, S. Omar, Z. Saad, Norhayati Mohamad Noor, M. K. Osman
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引用次数: 38

摘要

本文介绍了人工神经网络(ANN)在光伏系统天气预报中的适用性。主要目标是根据从光伏系统获得的各种测量参数预测日常天气状况。在这项工作中,使用多数投票技术的多层感知器(MMLP)网络,并使用Levenberg Marquardt (LM)算法进行训练。投票技术被广泛应用于许多解决现实世界问题的应用中。使用了不同的投票技术,如多数决定原则、决策制定、共识民主、共识政府和绝对多数。根据所涉及的问题,投票技术的方式是不同的。在研究中采用多数投票技术,使MMLP网络的性能与单一MLP网络相比得到认可。拟议的工作已被用于对四种天气状况进行分类;雨天、多云、晴天和暴风雨。该系统可用于表示对可能的不利条件的警告系统。实验结果表明,该方法比传统的选择隐含神经元数量最少的MLP的方法具有更好的性能。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Weather Forecasting Using Photovoltaic System and Neural Network
This paper presents the applicability of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) for weather forecasting using a Photovoltaic system. The main objective is to predict daily weather conditions based on various measured parameters gained from the PV system. In this work, Multiple Multilayer Perceptron (MMLP) network with majority voting technique was used and trained using Levenberg Marquardt (LM) algorithm. Voting technique is widely used in many applications to solve real world problem. Different techniques of voting are used such as majority rules, decision making, consensus democracy, consensus government and supermajority. The way of the voting technique is different depending on the problem involved. Majority voting technique was applied in the study so that the performance of MMLP can be approved as compared to single MLP network. The proposed work has been used to classify four weather conditions; rain, cloudy, dry day and storm. The system can be used to represent a warning system for likely adverse conditions. Experimental results demonstrate that the applied technique gives better performance than the conventional ANN concept of choosing an MLP with least number of hidden neurons.
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