新兴东欧股票市场的金融风险转移:行业视角

E. Fedorova
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引用次数: 8

摘要

随着相互关联的全球金融体系的兴起,一个国家的金融危机可能蔓延到其他国家的风险越来越大。2008 年全球金融危机的蔓延效应对发达经济体造成了迅速而严重的打击,而欠发达和一体化程度较低的金融体系却幸免于难。本研究的重点是 2004 年加入欧盟后东欧股票市场的传染效应及其相互联系的变化。具体而言,我们研究了 1998-2009 年期间波兰、匈牙利和捷克共和国股市各部门之间的关系及其对内包金融风险的暴露程度。证据表明,2004 年加入欧盟后,不同股市板块之间在收益和波动率方面存在直接联系,市场之间的股票冲击传导性增强。特别值得注意的是新兴欧洲的行业内传染。我们的研究结果对国际金融机构和金融经理人的资产定价和投资组合选择具有启示意义。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Transfer of Financial Risk in Emerging Eastern European Stock Markets: A Sectoral Perspective
With the rise of interconnected global financial systems, there is an increased risk that a financial crisis in one country may spread to others. The contagion effects of the 2008 global financial crisis hit advanced economies fast and hard while sparing less developed and less integrated financial systems. The present study focuses on the contagion effects at Eastern European stock markets and changes in their interconnections after EU accession in 2004. Specifically, we investigate the relationship among the stock market sectors of Poland, Hungary and the Czech Republic during 19982009 and their exposure to on-shored financial risk. The evidence suggests direct linkages between different stock market sectors with respect to returns and volatilities with increased equity-shock transmission between markets after EU accession in 2004. Of particular note is the intra-industry contagion in emerging Europe. Our findings have implications for asset pricing and portfolio selection for international financial institutions and financial managers.
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