{"title":"基于LSTM的神经网络对时间序列预测的回溯周期、epoch和隐状态影响","authors":"K. Koparanov, K. Georgiev, Vasil A. Shterev","doi":"10.1109/TELECOM50385.2020.9299551","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Forecasting time series problem occurs in various subject areas. Recently neural network techniques have been used for solving such tasks. However, they have not been sufficiently studied. The article explores the influence of the lookback period, the training epochs, and hidden state dimensionality in forecasting time series using long short-term memory. Numerical experiments with example financial data show that using more lags does not improve the results. Such a study of model parameters is important for their proper selection.","PeriodicalId":300010,"journal":{"name":"2020 28th National Conference with International Participation (TELECOM)","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2020-10-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"2","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Lookback Period, Epochs and Hidden States Effect on Time Series Prediction Using a LSTM based Neural Network\",\"authors\":\"K. Koparanov, K. Georgiev, Vasil A. Shterev\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/TELECOM50385.2020.9299551\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Forecasting time series problem occurs in various subject areas. Recently neural network techniques have been used for solving such tasks. However, they have not been sufficiently studied. The article explores the influence of the lookback period, the training epochs, and hidden state dimensionality in forecasting time series using long short-term memory. Numerical experiments with example financial data show that using more lags does not improve the results. Such a study of model parameters is important for their proper selection.\",\"PeriodicalId\":300010,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"2020 28th National Conference with International Participation (TELECOM)\",\"volume\":\"1 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2020-10-29\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"2\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"2020 28th National Conference with International Participation (TELECOM)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/TELECOM50385.2020.9299551\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"2020 28th National Conference with International Participation (TELECOM)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/TELECOM50385.2020.9299551","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Lookback Period, Epochs and Hidden States Effect on Time Series Prediction Using a LSTM based Neural Network
Forecasting time series problem occurs in various subject areas. Recently neural network techniques have been used for solving such tasks. However, they have not been sufficiently studied. The article explores the influence of the lookback period, the training epochs, and hidden state dimensionality in forecasting time series using long short-term memory. Numerical experiments with example financial data show that using more lags does not improve the results. Such a study of model parameters is important for their proper selection.