基础设施复杂区域与系统间事故:弹性视角下的分类

V. Lesnykh, T. Timofeeva
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引用次数: 0

摘要

图书DOI: 10.21467/abstract .93根据ICT中ISF的起义分类特征与ICT结构分类特征相关,可以根据触发事件发生的基础设施系统类型进行分类。可区分以下几种:由电力系统故障引起的事故;供气系统故障引起的事故;运输系统故障引起的事故;供水系统故障引起的事故;通信系统故障引起的事故;几个系统同时发生故障而引起的事故。根据ICT事故的规模(ISF涉及的系统数量),可以区分:分布式ISF故障发生在2-3个系统中;4-6个系统发生宏观分布式ISF故障;超分布式ISF故障发生在6个以上的系统中。根据经济后果的程度,信息通信技术系统间事故可分为:信息通信技术系统间事故的微观经济后果出现在个体组织层面;ISF的宏观经济后果出现在几个经济部门或业务领域的组织的总体水平上;ISF的中观经济后果出现在单个经济部门层面;ISF的宏观经济后果与国民经济、几个国家或世界经济部门有关。根据社会后果的规模,我们将标注:局部事故后果影响人群;某些地区(地区、地区)人民社区遭受的区域性事故;区域间事故的后果在国家和国家间都能感受到。如果位于ICT的危险生产设施存在系统间事故,建议根据危险因素的性质进行分类:具有形成化学危害的ISF;具有形成火灾和爆炸因素的ISF;具有形成生物危险因素的ISF;具有形成水动力危害的ISF;具有复杂危险出现的ISF。通过对发生的ISF的分析,以及对ICT中ISF发展场景的可能拓扑的定性分析,作者提出了以下工作中ISF结构的分类[6]:没有分支的事故;系统中具有分支的意外;系统之间的分支事故;系统内部和系统之间的分支事故。进行分析和分类的必要性与各种ISF有关,需要选择方法和模型方法来评估ICT的水平弹性。致谢:本文摘要由RFBR资助项目“城市化地区关键基础设施系统间交互安全性分析、预测和评估的理论基础和实践方法的发展”(20-010-00812A)提供支持。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Infrastructurely Complex Territories and Intersystem Accidents: Classification from Resilience View Point
Book DOI: 10.21467/abstracts.93 According to uprising of ISF in ICT classification characteristics are related to classification characteristics according to ICT structure and can be classified according to the type of infrastructure system in which the triggering event occurred. The following types can be distinguished: accidents caused by power system failure; accidents caused by failure in gas supply system; accidents caused by failure in transport system; accidents caused by failure in water supply system; accidents caused by failure in communication system; accidents caused by failure in several systems at the same time. By the scale of accident in ICT (number of systems involved in ISF) it is possible to distinguish: distributed ISF failures occurred in 2-3 systems; macro-distributed ISF failures occurred in 4-6 systems; megadistributed ISF failures occurred in more than 6 systems. According to the level of economic consequences, intersystem accidents in ICT can be divided into: microeconomic consequences of ISF appear at the level of individual organizations; macroeconomic consequences of ISF appear at the level of totality of organizations of several branches of economy or spheres of business; mesoeconomic consequences of ISF appear at the level of individual branches of economy; megaeconomic consequences of ISF are linked to national economy, several states or sectors of world economy. According to scale of social consequences, we will mark: local accidents consequences affected groups of people; regional accidents suffered communities of people in certain territories (area, region); interregional accidents consequences are felt at national and intercountry levels. If hazardous production facilities located in ICT are present in intersystem accidents, it is advisable to carry out classification according to nature of hazardous factors: ISF with forming chemically hazards; ISF with forming fire and explosive factors; ISF with forming biologically hazardous factors; ISF with forming hydrodynamically hazards; ISF with complex appearing of hazards. Analysis of happened ISF, as well as qualitative analysis of possible topologies of ISF development scenarios in ICT, allowed the authors to propose the following classification of ISF structure in work [6]: accidents with absence of branching; accidents with branching in systems; accidents with branching between systems; accidents with branching in and between systems. The necessity for carried out analysis and classification is connected with variety of ISF and need to choose methodological and model approaches to assessment of level resilience of ICT. Acknowledgement: The abstracts were prepared with the support of the RFBR grant project "Development of theoretical foundations and practical methods for analyzing, predicting and evaluating security in intersystem interactions of critical infrastructures in urbanized areas" No. 20-010-00812A.
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