CUSUM图在金融交易中的应用

Ling Xin, P. Yu, K. Lam
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引用次数: 7

摘要

CUSUM质量控制图在金融市场的应用在文献中并不新鲜。结果表明,滤波器交易规则与CUSUM质量控制测试在数学上是等价的,因为两者都是基于变化点检测理论。过滤交易规则在检验金融市场效率方面得到了广泛的研究。本文研究了在马尔可夫交换模型(MSM)模型假设下的滤波交易规则。从我们的研究中发现,当两体制MSM较好地拟合资产收益时,过滤交易规则可能优于买入持有策略。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An Application of CUSUM Chart on Financial Trading
The applications of CUSUM quality control chart to financial markets is not new in literature. It has been shown that the filter trading rule is mathematically equivalent to the CUSUM quality control test as both are based on change point detection theory. Filter trading rule has been extensively studied in the field of testing the financial market efficiency. In this paper, we studied the filter trading rule under a model assumption of Markov switching model (MSM) which has become very popular in financial applications. From our studies, it is found that the filter trading rule may beat the buy-and-hold strategy when the two-regime MSM fit the asset returns well.
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