优化美国的地区足迹:中国和印太地区

J. Stevenson
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在这本及时的阿德菲书中,乔纳森·史蒂文森提醒我们美国全球足迹的规模和复杂性,以及外交政策的必要性是如何压倒削减海外基地数量的压力的。在当今紧张的战略环境下,这种情况极有可能继续存在。“劳伦斯·弗里德曼爵士,伦敦国王学院战争研究荣誉教授”乔纳森·史蒂文森对2022年的美国海外基地进行了不可或缺的审视,并令人信服地解释了为什么它们在今天和可预见的未来仍然对美国战略至关重要。自第二次世界大战以来,海外军事基地一直是美国投射军事力量、施加政治影响和威慑潜在对手的能力的基石。但对美国“永远的战争”的厌倦,以及更微妙的财政和战略原因,使公众和政策界倾向于减少美国的全球军事活动和海外存在。在这本阿德尔菲的书中,乔纳森·史蒂文森认为,这种渴望并不一定会转化为合理的策略。海外基地是恢复和提升美国在盟友和对手中的声誉所需的保证的关键因素。与此同时,战略需要和地缘政治现实在每个战区都施加了限制。中东和印度太平洋地区普遍存在的不稳定性,建议将前沿部署的部队大致维持在目前的水平。俄罗斯对北约的对抗姿态和对乌克兰的入侵,以及北约对美国能力的中短期依赖,都要求美国在欧洲的存在增加并向东扩张。美国不应奉行重前沿军事部署、轻外交的外交政策。但矛盾的是,减少前沿军事存在可能与不那么注重军事力量作为实现稳定和安全手段的政策不一致。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Optimising US regional footprints: China and the Indo-Pacific
‘In this timely Adelphi book, Jonathan Stevenson reminds us of the size and complexity of the American global footprint, and how foreign-policy imperatives have tended to override pressures to cut back on the number of overseas bases. In today’s tense strategic environment, this will most likely remain the case.’ Sir Lawrence Freedman, Emeritus Professor of War Studies, King’s College London ‘Jonathan Stevenson offers an indispensable look at the United States’ overseas bases in 2022 and persuasively explains why they remain critical to American strategy today and for the foreseeable future.’ Stacie L. Pettyjohn, Senior Fellow and Director of the Defense Program at the Center for a New American Security Overseas military bases have been the bedrock of the United States’ ability to project military power, exert political influence and deter potential adversaries since the Second World War. But fatigue with America’s ‘forever wars’, as well as more nuanced financial and strategic reasons, have inclined the public and policy community to favour reducing US global military activities and overseas presence. In this Adelphi book, Jonathan Stevenson argues that this desire does not necessarily translate into sound strategy. Overseas bases are a key element of the reassurance required to resurrect and bolster America’s reputation among its allies and adversaries. Meanwhile, strategic imperatives and geopolitical realities impose restraints in every theatre. The fluidity prevailing in the Middle East and Indo-Pacific counsels maintaining forward-deployed forces there at roughly the current level. Russia’s confrontational posture towards NATO and invasion of Ukraine, as well as NATO’s short- and medium-term reliance on US capabilities, require the American presence in Europe to increase and expand eastward. The US should not commit itself to a foreign policy that is heavy on forward-deployed military power and light on diplomacy. But paradoxically, reducing forward military presence may not be consistent with a policy that is less focused on military power as a means of achieving stability and security.
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