均衡价格的自然不稳定性

Dmitry V. Levando, Maxim Sakharov
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引用次数: 1

摘要

我们建立了一个完全信息和没有外部冲击的战略贸易引起的市场波动理论。所构建的一般均衡双寡头垄断是一个具有无限策略和多个混合策略均衡的市场战略博弈。博弈的一阶条件(FOC)是不适定问题(Hadamard, 1909),但每个均衡混合策略只能近似。尽管市场是信息有效的,但这限制了玩家对彼此行为、理性预期和市场价格发现属性的共同信念的趋同。我们提出了对Tikhonov正则化的一种修改来构造伪解。模型的所有内生变量都暴露于不可消除的不稳定性,即“自然不稳定性”,特定于所选近似的参数。我们的结果也与常识的存在、太阳黑子平衡和噪声交易有关。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Natural Instability of Equilibrium Prices
We develop a theory of market fluctuations caused by strategic trade with complete information and without outside shocks. The constructed general equilibrium duopoly is a strategic market game with infinite strategies and multiple mixed strategies equilibria. First order conditions (FOC) of the game are the ill-posed problems (Hadamard, 1909), but every equilibrium mixed strategy can be only approximated. This imposes restrictions on convergence of common beliefs of players about actions of each other, existence of rational expectations and a price discovery property of the market, although the market is informationally efficient (Fama, 1970). We suggest a modification of Tikhonov regularization to construct pseudo-solutions. All endogenous variables of the model are exposed to unremovable instabilities, ‘natural instabilities’, specific to parameters of a chosen approximation. Our result is also related to existence of common knowledge, sun-spot equilibrium, and noise trade.
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