使用市级数据分析德国赌场的排除者

T. Strohäker, T. Becker
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引用次数: 3

摘要

赌博并不是一种毫无争议的消遣方式。虽然大多数人只是偶尔追求他们的游戏本能,但有些人碰巧失去了对这种冲动的控制,并发展出有问题甚至病态的赌博行为。被排除在外可能是一种重新获得控制并将受影响的赌徒的伤害降到最低的方法。与处理此主题的大多数其他工作相比,本文使用的不是单个级别的信息,而是更高的汇总市级数据。本文的目的是分析以何种方式社会人口因素和邻近措施可以用来解释德国社区被排除的赌徒数量的变化。为此目的,创建了一个独特的数据集,其中包含3,091个观测值,其中包含有关排除者数量的信息以及人口普查数据和空间信息。效果的估计采用OLS法。研究结果表明,被排除在外的更可能是30至39岁的男性,单身的可能性较小。由于数据的缺陷,其他社会人口因素没有产生显著的关联。此外,离赌博场所越近,被排除在外的人数就越多。离最近的赌场的距离对排除有负面影响。这一发现得到了支持,即在赌场直接坐落的社区中,排斥人数相对较多。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Profiling Excluders from German Casinos using Municipality Level Data
Gambling is not a totally undisputed way to spend leisure time. While most people pursue their play instinct only from time to time, some happen to lose control over their urge and develop a problematic or even pathological gambling behavior. Getting excluded can be a way to regain control and minimize harm for affected gamblers. In comparison to the majority of other work dealing with this topic, not individual level information was used, but higher aggregated municipality level data. The goal of this paper was to analyze in what way sociodemographic factors and proximity measures can be used to explain the variation in the number of excluded gamblers across German communities. For that purpose, a unique dataset with 3,091 observations containing information about the number of excluders as well as census data and spatial information has been created. The method used for estimation of the effects was OLS. The results of the study suggested that excluders are more likely to be male, between 30 and 39 years old and less likely to be single. Due to flaws in the data, the other sociodemographic factors did not yield significant associations.  Additionally, the number of exclusions increases with close proximity to gambling establishments. The distance to the closest casino has a negative impact on exclusions. This is backed up by the finding that there are relatively more exclusions in communities where casinos are directly located.
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