基于抗性动态的杂草防治除草剂用量优化模型

L. H. B. Bertolucci, E. F. Costa, V. Oliveira, F. Pereira, D. Karam
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引用次数: 1

摘要

提出了一种包含抗性动态的选择性除草剂控制杂草侵害的动态优化模型。以杂草种群的种子库密度和抗性、易感等位基因频率作为生长周期的状态变量。控制变量为施用剂量。目标是减少除草剂的使用,在预先确定的时间内实现利润最大化,并最大限度地减少过量使用除草剂对环境的影响。采用动态规划方法解决了寻找施用剂量的优化问题,该方法考虑了由于选择压力随施用剂量变化而引起的杂草抗性进化而导致的除草剂药效随时间下降。以玉米作物中常见的拜登氏次虫为例,进行了数值模拟。我们使用温室实验数据来获得杂草对最广泛使用的莠去津除草剂的反应。同时,对受环境因素影响较大的种子库动态过程中的关键参数,分析了最优解的敏感性。这表明,在一个相当现实的假设下,即系统中存在输入种子,优化解具有一定的鲁棒性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Herbicide Dosage Optimization Model for Weed Control Using the Resistance Dynamics
A dynamic optimization model for weed infestation control using selective herbicide application which includes the resistance dynamics is presented. The seed bank density of the weed population and frequencies of resistant and susceptible alleles are taken as the state variables of the growing cycle. The control variable is taken as the application doses. The goal is to reduce herbicide use, maximize profit in a pre-determined period of time and minimize the environmental impacts caused by excessive use of herbicides. The optimization problem of finding the application doses is solved with a dynamic programming approach which takes into account the decreased herbicide efficacy over time due to weed resistance evolution caused by a selective pressure which varies with the applied doses. Numerical simulations for a case study with the Bidens subalternans frequent in a corn crop is presented. We used data from a green house experiment to obtain the weed response to the most widely used Atrazine herbicide. Also, the sensitivity of the optimum solution in terms of the key parameters in the seed bank dynamics that are highly influenced by environmental factors is analysed. This suggests that the optimizing solution features some robustness under a quite realistic assumption that there are imported seeds in the system.
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