基于BP神经网络的智能电网短期负荷估计模型

Jianqiang Shi, Shi Chengchao, Han Lei, Xu Mengxi
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引用次数: 3

摘要

合理的短期负荷估计系统可以为智能电网的运行、规划和设计提供可靠的支持,本文提出了一种有效的智能电网短期负荷估计方法。将不同类型的数据输入到BP神经网络中,然后将BP神经网络的输出表示为负载估计结果。虽然BP神经网络可以在给定特定结构和合适权值的条件下逼近任意非线性连续函数,但很难得到全局最小值结果。为了获得短期负荷估计的全局最优解,我们利用遗传算法对BP神经网络的权值和阈值进行优化,这是该模型的主要优点。最后,实验结果表明,该方法可以较准确地估计智能电网的短期负荷,并能清晰地显示不同时间段的负荷需求分布。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Smart grid short-term load estimation model based on BP neural network
As reasonable short-term load estimation system can provide reliable support for the operating, planning and designing of the smart grid, in this paper, we propose an effective smart grid short-term load estimation method. Different types of data are input to the BP neural network and then the output of BP neural network is represented as the load estimation results. Although BP neural network can approximate any nonlinear continuous function with the condition of a specific structure and suitable weights, it is very difficult to obtain the global minimum result. In order to obtain the global optimum solution in short-term load estimation, we exploit the genetic algorithm to optimise the weights and thresholds of the BP neural network, which is the main advantage of the proposed model. Finally, experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method can estimate short-term load of smart grid with higher accuracy and it can also clearly show the load requirement distribution in different time period.
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