杠杆,债务期限和股票表现

Tristan Nguyen, Alexandra Schüssler
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引用次数: 5

摘要

我们补充了先前的文献,通过关注扩展比率来测试总杠杆对股票回报的影响,即“总债务与(总资本+长期债务)”,TD/(TC+LTD),今后的比率。此外,与其他公司不同的是,我们考虑的是不同期限的债务。德国、英国和美国考虑的是这一比率与1个月至60个月股票回报率之间的联系。我们控制贝塔,并根据比率形成五分位数来计算平均回报。我们的研究结果表明,德国和英国的比率与回报率之间存在明显的负相关关系。在这两个市场中,在所有研究时期,最低比例的五分之一比最高比例的五分之一表现得更好。有趣的是,美国的结果就不那么清楚了。由于一些已知的因素,美国的市场效率可能高于其他两个市场。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
LEVERAGE, MATURITIES OF DEBT AND STOCK PERFORMANCE
We add to the prior literature that test the influence of total leverage on stock returns by focusing on an extended ratio, namely, ‘Total Debt to (Total Capital + Long Term Debt)’, TD/(TC+LTD)’, the ratio henceforth.Further, and in contrast with others, we account for different maturities of debt. The link between this ratio and stock returns for periods of one to sixty months are considered for Germany, the UK and the US. We control for beta and form quintiles based on the ratio to compute mean returns. Our findings indicate a robust negative relation between the ratio and returns for Germany and the UK. In these two markets, the lowest ratioquintile performs better than the highest ratio-quintile for all the periods studied. Interestingly, the results for the United States are less clear. Due to a number of known factors, market efficiency might be higher in the US than in the other two markets.
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