石油作为一种金融资源是否具有生产力?

Kui-wai Li, Tianyu Wang
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文分别用石油资源和全要素生产率作为名义经济和实体经济的代理,来展示石油作为金融资源对经济生产率的影响。我们分析了1970 - 2014年覆盖132个国家的全样本中石油出口和石油进口对全要素生产率增长率的影响。系统- gmm和非参数实证结果均表明,石油资源对生产率增长具有显著的负向影响。实证结果表明,石油出口每增加1%,TFP增长率将下降1.18%;石油进口每增加1%,TFP增长率将下降2.91%。在油价冲击之后,资源贫乏国家的全要素生产率增长率有所下降。当将全球经济划分为三组国家(仅石油出口国、仅石油进口国和既出口又进口石油的国家)时,也会得到类似的发现。研究结果支持了石油富国未能利用其丰富的石油资源实现长期经济增长的观点。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Is Oil as a Financial Resource Productive?
This paper uses oil resource and total factor productivity as the proxies for the nominal economy and real economy, respectively, to show how oil as a financial resource would impact on economic productivity. We analyze the effect of oil export and oil import on the TFP growth rate in the full sample covering 132 countries from 1970 to 2014. Both system-GMM and nonparametric empirical results show that the oil resource has a significant negative influence on productivity growth in long-run. The empirical findings show that a 1% increase in oil export would result in 1.18% decrease in the TFP growth rate and a 1% increase in oil importing would lead to 2.91% reduction in TFP growth. After an oil price shock, the TFP growth rate declined in the resource-poor countries. Similar findings are arrived when the globe economy in divided into three groups of countries (oil exporting only, oil importing only, and countries performed both export and import of oil). The results support the argument that oil-rich countries failed to use their abundant oil resource for long-run economic growth.
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