关于Gollier集体养老金计划模型的注解

J. M. Schumacher
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引用次数: 0

摘要

Gollier(2008)提出了一个分析养老金计划的模型,该模型有助于关注代际风险分担的影响和参与约束的作用。他使用这个模型来分析集体计划相对于个人为自己实施的计划的相对吸引力。该分析使用了一个假设,即从个人制度向集体制度过渡时,在职业生涯开始和退休之间的几代人所实现的投资回报的所有权。本文探讨了采用另一种假设的后果。在一项校准工作中,从现有的“自给自足”方案切换到无限视界“集体”方案所获得的有效回报率的增加被发现为8个基点,而不是Gollier(2008)报告的72个基点。此外,还考虑了代理人偏好规范变化的影响,旨在表达第二支柱中退休收入准备的特殊性。这些修改的影响是相当大的。布莱克-斯科尔斯假设被用来对经济环境进行建模,因此许多结果可以以封闭的形式得到。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Note on Gollier’s Model for a Collective Pension Scheme
Gollier (2008) has proposed a model for the analysis of pension schemes that is helpful to focus attention on the impact of intergenerational risk sharing and on the role of the participation constraint. He uses the model to analyze the relative attractiveness of a collective scheme with respect to schemes that may be implemented by individuals for themselves. The analysis makes use of an assumption concerning the ownership rights of investment returns realized by generations that are between career start and retirement at the time of the transition from an individual to a collective system. The present paper investigates the consequences of adopting an alternative assumption. In a calibration exercise, the increase of the effective rate of return obtained by switching from an existing "autarky'' scheme to an infinite-horizon "collective'' scheme is found to be 8 basis points, as opposed to 72 basis points as reported in Gollier (2008). Additionally, the effects are considered of changes in the specification of agents' preferences, aiming to express the specific nature of retirement income provision in the second pillar. The impact of the modifications turns out to be quite large. The Black-Scholes assumptions are used to model the economic environment, so that many results can be obtained in closed form.
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