全息和感知器神经元网络在动态系统行为预测中的联合应用

V. Olonichev, B. Staroverov, Sergey Tarasov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

提出了沿时间序列预测动力系统行为的方法。该方法是基于全息和感知机两种人工神经网络的联合应用。全息网络起着关联记忆和感知器-预测逼近器的作用。在电力消耗预测任务中对该方法进行了验证。全息网络在之前的时间序列中选择了相似的间隔。然后,感知器在选定的数据上进行训练,将其作为输入值,并将紧随其后的间隔作为输出值。一个经过训练的感知器可以用于预测。与地区电力公司的实际数据相比,预测的平均相对误差约为2%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Holographic and Perceptron Neuron Networks Joint Application for the Dynamic Systems Behavior Forecast
The method of prognosis of dynamic system behavior along its temporal series is suggested. This method is based on the joint application of two types of artificial neural networks: holographic and perceptron. The holographic network plays the role of associated memory and perceptron one—the forecasting approximator. The method was tested on the task of forecasting electrical energy consumption. The holographis network selected similar intervals in the preceding temporal series. The perceptron was then trained on the selected data, using it as input values and the intervals immediately after them as output values. A trained perceptron may be used for the prediction. With the real data from the regional electrical company, the average relative error of the forecast was about 2%.
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