金砖国家股市波动及其因果关系

Soumya Ganguly, Amalendu Bhunia
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究考察了金砖国家股票市场波动率及其因果关系。本研究使用的数据为2019年11月18日至2021年2月1日。本研究采用描述性统计、相关分析、ADF单位根检验、GARCH模型和VECM检验。JarqueBera统计数据的可能性表明,某些股票市场的分布并不规律。在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间,相关研究显示,金砖国家所有股票市场都具有良好的相关性。GARCH检验结果证实,除南非股市外,所选股票市场在整个研究期间波动极大。研究还表明,金砖国家市场不存在杠杆效应。VECM检验的结果显示,虽然金砖国家股票市场之间不存在显著的长期因果关系,但除了巴西股市之外,金砖国家股票市场之间存在短期因果关系。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Market Volatility and Causal Relationship among BRICS Stock Markets
This study examines the stock market volatility and causal connection among BRICS stock markets. This research uses data from November 18, 2019 to February 1, 2021. This study employed descriptive statistics, correlation analysis, ADF unit-root tests, GARCH models, and the VECM test. The JarqueBera statistics’ likelihood shows that certain stock markets are not regularly distributed. During the outbreak of COVID-19 pandemic, correlation studies revealed that all BRICS stock markets were favourably associated with one another. The GARCH test results substantiates that the selected stock markets were extremely volatile throughout the research period other than South Africa stock market. The research also indicates that the BRICS markets have no leverage impact. The findings of the VECM tests divulge that while there is no noteworthy long-term causality among BRICS stock market, however, there exist a short-run causality between, other than Brazilian stock market.
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