破产预测模型适用性的局限性

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引用次数: 0

摘要

破产预测模型的应用所涉及的问题是广泛的。对文献的回顾表明,对破产缺乏统一的定义。破产定义的多样性使不同研究的可比性变得复杂,因此在实际应用破产预测模型时,考虑破产预测模型所依据的具体破产定义是合适的。在各种研究中对公司的选择也受到了许多批评。文献还提出了会计信息质量的问题。还讨论了应将哪些指标纳入模型。许多研究已经证明了在破产风险分析中既包括市场信息又包括非财务信息的好处。对于应该使用公司现金流数据来提高模型的预测能力这一说法,也没有达成共识。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Limitations in the Applicability of Bankruptcy Prediction Models
The problems associated with the application of bankruptcy prediction models are of a wide range. A review of the literature shows the lack of a uniform definition of bankruptcy. The existing diversity in the definitions of bankruptcy complicates the comparability of the different studies, hence why it is considered appropriate to take the specific definition of bankruptcy that the bankruptcy prediction models are based on into account when applying them in practice. The selection of companies in the various studies has also been the subject of much criticism. The literature also raises the question of the quality of accounting information. There are also discussions about which indicators should be included in the models. Many studies have demonstrated the benefits of including market information as well as non-financial information in bankruptcy risk analysis. There is also no consensus on the statement that data on the cash flow of companies should be used to increase the predictive power of the models.
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