用多元协整方法检验尼泊尔出口导向型增长假说

ERN: Hypothesis Testing (Topic) Pub Date : 2014-09-17 DOI:10.2139/ssrn.2497647

Nayan Krishna Joshi, M. P. Dahal, B. Paudel

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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们检查出口和产出之间的关系为一个小的发展中国家尼泊尔收到很少的关注在这样的文献。通过对1975 - 2011年数据的多元协整和向量误差修正模型，我们发现实际出口、投资和实际GDP之间存在长期关系，实际出口与实际GDP之间存在长期和短期双向因果关系。这意味着，就尼泊尔而言，出口是“增长的引擎”，而增长也是“出口的引擎”。

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Testing Export-Led Growth Hypothesis in Nepal Using Multivariate Cointegration Approach

We examine the relationship between exports and output for a small developing country Nepal which has received little attention in such literature. Using multivariate cointegration and vector error correction model for the data of 1975 to 2011 we find long-run relationship between real exports, investment, and real GDP and bidirectional long run and short run causality between real exports and real GDP. This implies that in case of Nepal, exports in an 'engine of the growth' and growth is also 'the engine of exports'.

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ERN: Hypothesis Testing (Topic)

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