1988年至2008年政治不稳定对信德省政治和社会经济状况的影响

Hassan Bakhsh Noonari, Dr. Altantuya Dashnyam
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究考察了1988年至2008年政治不稳定对信德省政治和社会经济状况的影响。进行这项研究是为了找出信德省政治不稳定与其他四个方面(民主、教育、卫生和经济发展)之间的关系。本研究以政治不稳定为自变量,以民主、教育、健康、经济发展为因变量。这项研究涵盖了从1988年到2008年的20年时间。为了进行这项研究,从巴基斯坦信德省的所有六个地区(卡拉奇、海得拉巴、苏库尔、拉卡纳、沙希德·贝纳齐拉巴德和米尔普尔卡斯)中选择了总共30所学院和高等教育机构(HEIs)。每个地区抽取5所高校,每所高校抽取10名受访者,总样本量为300人,其中264人(88%)回复并归还了填写的问卷。建立了李克特五点量表,并对参与者进行了管理。利用社会科学统计软件包(SPSS)对被调查者的回复进行分析,生成回复的频率分布、均值、标准差、相关系数和简单回归等。本研究的四个假设均采用相关系数和简单回归在0.05显著水平上进行检验。本研究的主要发现包括因变量和自变量之间的关联,如:民主和政治不稳定,教育和政治不稳定,健康和政治不稳定以及经济发展和政治不稳定。在假设模型中,预测政治不稳定对信德省的"民主、教育、卫生和经济发展"产生负面影响。在分析的第一阶段,通过Spearman相关系数分析来测量关系,检验变量之间的相关性。模型结果表明,所有四个方面(民主、教育、卫生和经济发展)都与政治不稳定相关,并发现民主、教育、卫生和经济发展与政治不稳定之间存在显著相关性。所有的假设都得到了验证,回归模型表明,民主、教育、健康和经济发展变量解释了总政治不稳定的97.7%的方差。这四个指标的统计显著性贡献最高。从最终结果来看,所有因变量和自变量都是显著相关的。因此,所有正在研究的假设都被接受。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of Political Instability on Political and Socio-economic Conditions of Sindh from 1988 to 2008
This research examines Impact of Political Instability on Political and Socio-economic Conditions of Sindh from 1988 to 2008. This study was undertaken to find out the relationship between political instability and four other dimensions (democracy, education, health, and economic development) in the province of Sindh. In this research, political instability is taken as an independent variable and democracy, education, health, and economic development as dependent variables. This study has covered a period of 20 years from 1988 to 2008. For the conduct of this study, a total of thirty colleges and Higher Education Institutions (HEIs) were selected from all the six regions (Karachi, Hyderabad, Sukkur, Larkana, Shaheed Benazirabad, and Mirpurkhas) of Sindh province of Pakistan. Five colleges were selected from each region and ten respondents were selected from each college, the total sample size was 300 out of which 264 (88%) respondents responded and returned the questionnaire duly filled by them. A five point Likert scale was constructed and administered on the participants. The responses of the respondents were analyzed using the statistical package for social sciences (SPSS), which generated the frequency distributions, means, standard deviations, coefficient of correlations and simple regression etc. of the responses. All the four hypotheses of this research which were tested at the 0.05 level of significance by using coefficient of correlation and simple regression. The major findings of this study include the association between dependent and independent variables such as: democracy and political instability, education and political instability, health and political instability and economic development and political instability. In the model of hypotheses, it was predicted that political instability has negative impact on “democracy, education, health and economic development”, in the Sindh province. At the first stage of analysis, relationship was measured through Spearman correlation coefficient analysis to check association among the variables. The model results show that all the four dimensions (democracy, education, health and economic development) correlate with political instability and found significant correlation between democracy, education, health and economic development and political instability. All the assumptions were verified and the regression model show that the variables democracy, education, health and economic development explained 97.7% of variance in total political instability. All these four exerted the highest statistically significant contribution. As per final results, all the dependent and independent variables are significantly correlated. Therefore, all the hypotheses under study are accepted.
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