最佳投资组合中的风险应用分析

Nisrina Putri Arifin, Ali Mutasowifin
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摘要

投资是决定变量之一,对经济增长(GDP)有积极的影响。投资于市值大的股票将促进日经指数的增长。IDX80是由流动性高、市值大、公司基本面良好的80只股票组成的指数。本研究的目的是在马科维茨模型和单指数模型的基础上寻找符合最优投资组合标准的股票组合,并在风险价值模型的基础上寻找最佳投资组合绩效。本研究使用了BI7DRR期间2019年2月至2022年2月的月度股票价格、JKSE和利率报告。结果表明,单指数模型的最优投资组合有17只股票组合,月预期收益率为0.01882,方差值为0.002582。而由马科维茨模型形成的最优投资组合产生了6个股票组合,预期收益率和方差分别为0.002243和0.003866 /月。通过风险值的比较,单指数模型的最优组合优于马科维茨模型,因为它具有最高的预期收益、最佳的风险、最低的可能损失和最佳的投资组合绩效。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analisis Penerapan Risiko dalam Penyusunan Portofolio Optimal
Investment is one of the determining variables and has a positive effect on economic growth (GDP). Investing in stocks with large market capitalization will increase JKSE growth. IDX80 is an index consisting of 80 stocks that have high liquidity, large market capitalization, and good company fundamentals. This study aims to find a combination of stocks that meet the criteria in forming an optimal portfolio based on the Markowitz model and the Single Index Model also to find the best portfolio performance using Value at Risk. This study uses reports of monthly stock price, JKSE, and interest rates BI7DRR period February 2019–February 2022. The results show there are 17 stocks combination form the optimal portfolio of the Single Index Model with an expected return of 0.01882 and a variance value of 0.002582 per month. While the optimal portfolio formed by the Markowitz model produces six stocks combination, the expected return and variance are 0.002243 and 0.003866 per month, respectively. Based on comparison using Value at Risk, the optimal portfolio by the Single Index Model is better than the Markowitz model because it has the highest expected return, the best risk, the lowest possible loss, and the best portfolio performance.
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