货币政策、住房和抵押品约束

Thorsten Franz
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引用次数: 2

摘要

房屋购买决策和现有房主利用其房屋净值的可能性,在很大程度上取决于贷款限制家庭的抵押贷款市场中普遍存在的贷款价值比(LTV)。利用平滑过渡本地预测(STLP)方法,我表明,在高LTV比率时期,美国的货币政策冲击在住房部门引起了更强烈的反应,这通过抵押贷款和抵押股权提取(mew)的变化转化为更大的消费影响。这一结果对于收缩性冲击更为明显,与偶尔的约束性约束一致。LTV比率的强顺周期性使这些发现与过去有关经济衰退期间货币政策传导不那么有力的证据相吻合。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Monetary Policy, Housing, and Collateral Constraints
House-purchasing decisions and the possibility of existing homeowners to tap into their housing equity depend decisively on prevailing loan-to-value (LTV) ratios in mortgage markets with borrowing constrained households. Utilizing a smooth transition local projection (STLP) approach, I show that monetary policy shocks in the U.S. evoke stronger reactions in the housing sector in times of high LTV ratios, which, through changes in mortgage lending and mortgage equity withdrawals (MEWs), translate into larger effects of consumption. This result is more pronounced for contractionary shocks, in line with occasionally binding constraints. The strong procyclicality of LTV ratios reconciles these findings with past evidence on a less powerful transmission of monetary policy during recessions.
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