S. Oksala, A. Rutkowski, Michael B. Spring, J. O'Donnell
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引用次数: 22
摘要
■探讨如何最好地制定信息技术产业标准。虽然可以将我们的结论推广到其他行业组,但这里的重点是it行业面临的问题。阿文·明斯基说:“你听到的任何关于计算机和人工智能的言论都应该忽略,因为我们正处于黑暗时代。我们正处于无科技和有科技之间的千年。[Brand 1988, p. 104]虽然信息技术的状况可能比明斯基所说的人工智能的情况要好一些,但我们确实处于一个非常快速且往往不可预测的变化时期。藏书家对incunabula这个词很熟悉,因为它指的是1450年至1500年间出版的书籍。这个术语更广泛地描述任何处于发展早期阶段的艺术或行业,信息技术当然可以这样描述。发展既迅速又普遍,有许多迹象表明变化的速度和程度:
■ We address the question of how best to develop standards for the information technology industry. While it may be possible to generalize our conclusions for other industry groups, the focus here is on the issues faced by the IT industries. arvin Minsky said “Anything that you hear about computers and AI should be ignored, because we’re in the Dark Ages. We’re in the thousand years between no technology and all technology.’’ [Brand 1988, p. 104] While information technology is probably in somewhat better shape than Minsky suggests is the case for AI, it is true that we are in a period of very rapid, and often unpredictable change. Bibliophiles will be familiar with the term “incunabula” as it refers to books produced between 1450 and 1500. The term more generally describes any art or industry in the early stages of development, and information technology can certainly be so described. Developments are both rapid and pervasive, and there are many indications of the rate and extent of change: